A Comprehensive Warning Guide on Overvaluing Bitcoin

Welcome to an in-depth exploration of the notional value of Bitcoin and Gold with Brian from quantlabs.net. In this episode, he analyzes and shares his understanding of notional value, a term widely used by derivative traders. Referencing articles from coindesk.com and Investopedia, Brian breaks down what notional value entails and its impact on trading strategies.

Brian then dives into the analysis from JP Morgan, talking about how the Bitcoin spot ETF is expected to grow to $60 billion in the next two to three years, shifting the market price vs the implied price. An important aspect to note is the heightened volatility of Bitcoin, nearly 3.7 times higher than Gold, hence affecting the metrics of comparison. Brian also talks about the future scenario of Bitcoin and how the net flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs could influence the market.

Furthermore, Brian shares his own investment experiences and the performances of various coins. He highlights Bitcoin as the preferred choice for investment due to its consistent performance. He also shares viable watchlist options and advises caution while dealing with smaller, lesser-known coins owing to their higher volatility.

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Lastly, Brian reminds listeners of the technical trading updates and market analyses available on his Discord server and provides a link to join. He also promises to share his current watch list and trading insights via his substack, while reflecting on the weak forward guidance observed for stocks in the recent quarter. Concluding his episode, Brian shares a link to an email list that provides technical and algo trading books.